FOB vs freight vs CFR
A cheap origin is not necessarily cheap when delivered. Change the FOB or freight assumptions and see which wheat origin wins each shipment month.
Read the CFR matrix in the bookInteractive book table · Chapter 5
FOB + freight = delivered CFR
Change an input to see the delivered parity update. The lowest CFR origin is recalculated for each month.
DestinationAbidjan, Ivory CoastIllustrative wheat values · USD/mt
FOB matrixEditable inputs
| Origin | Jul 26 | Aug 26 | Sep 26 | Oct 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constanta | ||||
| Novorossiysk | ||||
| New Orleans | ||||
| Kwinana |
Freight matrixEditable inputs
| Origin | Jul 26 | Aug 26 | Sep 26 | Oct 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constanta | ||||
| Novorossiysk | ||||
| New Orleans | ||||
| Kwinana |
Indicative CFR parityCalculated output
| Origin | Jul 26 | Aug 26 | Sep 26 | Oct 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constanta | 270.00 | 271.00Model low | 274.00Model low | 278.00Model low |
| Novorossiysk | 269.00Model low | 274.00 | 278.00 | 281.00 |
| New Orleans | 283.00 | 286.00 | 289.00 | 292.00 |
| Kwinana | 324.00 | 325.00 | 326.00 | 329.00 |
Answer explainedWhy does the result move?Open or close the model FAQ
Read down a month to compare origins in space. Read across an origin to compare the delivered curve through time. The parity comparison assumes comparable quality and broadly similar finance, documents, risk and margin; it is not an automatic sourcing decision.
CFR(origin, month) = FOB(origin, month) + freight(origin, month)